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NVDA changes

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View the full Oct 2, 2026 version
Balance sheet
Nvidia holds much more cash than debt. At July 26, 2026, it had $56.6 billion of cash, cash equivalents and marketable debt securities. It also had $42.8 billion of listed equity securities. Against this, it had $33.5 billion of senior unsecured notes at the parent and $5.5 billion of operating lease liabilities. The notes increased in June 2026, when Nvidia issued $25.0 billion in seven tranches. Only $1.0 billion falls due within one year, and $17.5 billion falls due after five years. In the first half of fiscal 2027, operating income of $117.3 billion covered interest expense of $329 million more than 300 times. The $25.0 billion commercial paper program was unused. Moody's rates the notes Aa1 with a positive outlook (affirmed August 2026), and S&P raised its rating to AA in June 2026. The balance sheet does not show the largest calls on cash. These are $279 billion of supply and capacity commitments and $51.2 billion of stakes in private companies. Nvidia also guarantees lease and power payments for an OpenAI data center campus in Ohio, capped at $105 billion and starting from fiscal 2029. The cash and cash flow give room to keep buying back shares ($39.8 billion in the first half of fiscal 2027) and to invest. But the guarantees tie part of its future risk to the credit of one customer. As of 2026-07-26.
Checkpoints
Nov 17, 2026 (estimate): Fiscal Q3 2027 results: gross margin and customer breadth. Pending. Watch: Gross margin near the 74% guidance and data center growth from many customers pass; a margin below guidance or growth that depends on financed buyers fails. Feb 2027 (estimate): Fiscal Q4 2027 results: margin floor and Vera Rubin ramp. Pending. Watch: Gross margin that holds at or above the 71% to 72% guidance while Vera Rubin ships widely passes; a further margin cut or a slow Rubin ramp fails. Q2 2027 (estimate): Hugging Face purchase closes after regulatory review. Pending. Watch: A close in the first half of 2027 on the agreed terms passes; a block or a long delay by regulators fails. 2027 (estimate): Justice Department decision on the Groq license deal. Pending. Watch: An inquiry that ends with no forced change to the Groq deal passes; a lawsuit or an order to undo the deal fails.