Skip to content

IDAElectric utility

IDACORP

Narrow moatLow uncertainty

Updated

Price
$138.30
Fair value
fair value $144.00
Discount
4.0% below fair value
LSEG rating
LSEG 1.63 — lower is better (1–5)
Next earnings
Earnings Oct 30 · · estimated

Loading your notes…

In short

Thesis
The market prices IDACORP for the new shares that fund its large building plan and for wildfire risk, and EPS within guidance with timely rate increases can close the small gap within a year.
Gap
Can close. The Q3 2026 report and the 2027 guidance in February 2027 show whether EPS grows while new shares fund the building plan.
Next test
(estimate): Q3 2026 earnings: guidance and tax credit use

About

IDACORP is the holding company of Idaho Power, a regulated electric utility based in Boise, Idaho. Idaho Power serves more than 670,000 customers in a 24,000-square-mile area in southern Idaho and eastern Oregon. It owns 17 hydropower projects, which give it low-cost power, and it also owns gas-fired plants, shares of coal and gas plants, batteries and transmission lines.

Its customer count grew about 2.3% in the 12 months to June 30, 2026, and it serves large industrial customers that each need more than 20 MW under individual contracts that regulators approve. Regulators in Idaho and Oregon set its rates, and the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission sets its transmission rates. IDACORP also has two small businesses: IDACORP Financial invests in affordable housing tax credits, and Ida-West Energy runs small hydropower plants.

Thesis

The market prices IDACORP for the cost of its large building plan and for the risk of wildfires in the West. Idaho Power plans to spend $1.3 billion to $1.5 billion on capital projects in 2026 alone, for new transmission lines, batteries and three gas plants due in 2028 to 2030. It funds part of this plan with new shares: it sold or agreed to sell $418.0 million of shares in the first half of 2026 through forward sale agreements, and it has a $600 million at-the-market program. New shares lower growth in earnings per share.

Regulators must also add each project to rates, and Idaho Power earns less until they do. In the West, utilities face large claims when their equipment starts a wildfire. For the gap to close, three things must be true. EPS must reach the 2026 guidance of $6.30 to $6.45 with less than $15 million of extra tax credits.

Large contract customers and customer growth must keep raising revenue. Idaho Power must get timely rate increases for its new projects in its next general rate cases in Idaho and Oregon. The Q3 2026 report, expected about October 30, 2026, and the 2027 guidance in February 2027 are the next tests. The gap is small and can close over the next two to four quarters if results stay on plan.

The main reason it may not close is a large wildfire or a rate case decision that lowers allowed returns.

Checkpoints

  1. Oct 30, 2026 · est.Pending
    Q3 2026 earnings: guidance and tax credit use2026 EPS guidance of $6.30 to $6.45 kept or raised with less than $15 million of extra tax credits passes; a guidance cut or more tax credit use fails.
  2. Feb 2027 · est.Pending
    2026 results and the 2027 guidance2027 EPS guidance above the 2026 result, with a clear plan for the next rate cases, passes; flat EPS guidance because of new shares fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Balance sheet

Cash
$84M
Debt
$3.8B
Net debt
$3.7B

Cash against debt

Cash$84M
Debt$3.8B

debt covered by cashnet debt $3.7B

When the debt is due

12 months$116M
Later$3.7B

IDACORP funds Idaho Power's building plan with long-term debt, new shares and cash from operations. Debt is long-term debt of $3,678 million and current maturities of $116 million at June 30, 2026.

Risks

  • Idaho Power's service area includes forests and rangeland. If its equipment starts a wildfire, it can face large claims. It has a wildfire mitigation plan and recovers part of its costs in rates.
  • The building plan needs new debt and new shares. IDACORP sold $418.0 million of shares through forward sale agreements in the first half of 2026. More shares or higher interest rates can lower EPS growth.
  • Idaho Power must ask regulators to add new projects to rates. Delays or lower allowed returns in its next rate cases can lower earnings.
  • Hydropower output depends on snow and water. A dry year lowers low-cost hydropower and raises power costs, although power cost adjustment mechanisms recover most of the difference.

Recent events

  • July 30, 2026IDACORP reported Q2 2026 results. EPS rose to $1.79 from $1.76 a year earlier, because of higher Idaho base rates from January 1, 2026, customer growth and higher revenue from large contract customers. Idaho Power recorded no extra tax credits in the quarter. IDACORP raised the low end of its 2026 EPS guidance to $6.30 to $6.45. Idaho Power added 250 MW of batteries in June 2026, and a new large contract customer started on June 1, 2026.
  • May 15, 2026IDACORP started a new at-the-market program to sell up to $600 million of common shares, including through forward sale agreements. At June 30, 2026, $337.4 million of capacity was left.
  • April 30, 2026IDACORP reported Q1 2026 results. EPS was $1.21.
Show 1 older event
  • January 1, 2026New Idaho base rates took effect under the settlement of Idaho Power's 2025 general rate case, which the Idaho Public Utilities Commission approved in December 2025.

Similar companies

  • AEEAmerenShares: Power and energy, Regulation and courts, Interest rates
    Discount
    1.8%
    LSEG
    2.17
    Gap
    Can close
  • DDominion EnergyShares: Power and energy, Regulation and courts, Interest rates
    Discount
    12.9%
    LSEG
    2.71
    Gap
    Will probably not close
  • DUKDuke EnergyShares: Power and energy, Regulation and courts, Interest rates
    Discount
    7.3%
    LSEG
    2.32
    Gap
    Can close
  • ESEversource EnergyShares: Regulation and courts, Interest rates, Power and energy
    Discount
    9.7%
    LSEG
    2.82
    Gap
    Can close
  • EXCExelonShares: Regulation and courts, Interest rates, Power and energy
    Discount
    3.3%
    LSEG
    2.76
    Gap
    Can close

Read it all? Star IDA or pass, then go on to the next one.