The Campbell's Company

The Campbell's Company, renamed from Campbell Soup Company in November 2024, sells packaged food across two segments. Meals & Beverages, about 61% of fiscal 2026 sales, includes Campbell's condensed and ready-to-serve soups, Prego pasta sauce, Pace, V8, Swanson broth, Pacific Foods, and Rao's premium Italian sauces, added through the 2024 purchase of Sovos Brands. Snacks, the rest of sales, includes Pepperidge Farm (Goldfish crackers, Milano cookies), Snyder's of Hanover pretzels, Cape Cod chips, Kettle Brand, Lance, and Late July, most of it added through the 2018 purchase of Snyder's-Lance. Almost all sales are in the United States.

Outside the United States, it sells mainly in Canada and Latin America. In May 2026, Campbell's bought a 49% stake in La Regina, the Italian company that makes all of Rao's tomato-based sauces, for $286 million: $146 million in cash at closing and $140 million due in May 2027. This ties its supply chain more closely to its fastest-growing premium brand. The company earns its moat from decades-old brand recognition and shelf space at large grocery chains, which makes it hard for a new entrant to displace it.

Campbell's is priced for a real, ongoing decline, not just a rough patch. Both sales and earnings fell in fiscal 2026. Management's own fiscal 2027 guidance calls for another drop. To fund a turnaround, the board cut the dividend, and the company is closing two snack plants and reducing its salaried staff.

Fitch and Moody's both downgraded Campbell's debt within the past year, and Moody's keeps a negative outlook. For the gap to close, the new $500 million cost-savings plan must show up in results. Rao's and Goldfish, two of its brands, need to keep growing. The snacks business also needs to stabilize once the smaller plant footprint and lower headcount are fully in place.

Campbell's decades-old brands and shelf space with big retailers have helped it survive weak stretches before. Management itself does not expect margins to recover until fiscal 2028, so this is not a quick fix. Leverage stays high for now, near 4.9 times earnings on Moody's measure, leaving little room for a setback. If the turnaround holds through fiscal 2027 results and into fiscal 2028, the gap could close by then.

If leverage worsens or Rao's growth stalls, the discount could persist or widen.

1. Dec 8, 2026 · est.Pending

   Fiscal Q1 2027 earnings: Snacks trend and guidanceResults on track for adjusted EPS of $1.65 to $1.80 with Snacks declines slowing pass; a guidance cut or another big Snacks profit drop fails.
2. Mar 19, 2027Pending

   $500 million notes mature at a Baa3 ratingRepayment from the October 2026 junior notes and cash, with net debt lower than at August 2, 2026, passes; more high-cost debt or a draw on the revolver fails.
3. Mar 2027 · est.Pending

   Fiscal Q2 2027 earnings: cost savings and Rao's growthVisible savings from the $500 million program and Rao's still growing pass; flat Rao's sales or higher leverage fails.
4. May 4, 2027Pending

   $140 million La Regina paymentPayment in cash without new debt passes; payment in new shares, or new borrowing to pay it, fails.
5. Sep 2027 · est.Pending

   Fiscal 2027 results and fiscal 2028 outlookMoody's-style leverage near 4 times and an outlook for margin recovery in fiscal 2028 pass; leverage still near 5 times or a new rating cut fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Campbell's uses mostly fixed-rate senior unsecured notes of the parent company. It issued them to buy Snyder's-Lance in 2018 and Sovos Brands in 2024, and it is now one notch above junk at Moody's, with little room for buybacks, deals or another drop in profit. Read more

• Leverage remains elevated even after the dividend cut. Moody's put adjusted leverage at about 4.9 times at fiscal year-end 2026, against about 4.3 times on the company's own net measure. Moody's (to Baa3, negative outlook) and Fitch (to BBB-, stable outlook) both downgraded Campbell's within the past year. Less room to absorb a setback than a less-levered company.
• The Snacks segment (Pepperidge Farm, Snyder's-Lance brands) is the weak spot: organic sales fell 4% and segment operating earnings fell 28% in fiscal 2026. Closing two chip plants and reducing salaried staff is a real bet that this turnaround works; it is not yet proven out.
• Management's own fiscal 2027 guidance calls for a second straight year of decline: net sales down 2%-4% and adjusted earnings per share down 17%-24% to $1.65-$1.80. The turnaround is not expected to show up in results until fiscal 2028.
• The 36% dividend cut signals real cash-flow strain, not just caution. It may push income-focused shareholders to sell, and there is less cushion if the company needs to cut the payout again.
• GLP-1 weight-loss drugs, tariffs (an estimated 2.3-point cut to fiscal 2026 gross margin), and cost inflation of about 5%-6% for fiscal 2027, with logistics costs up near double digits, all pressure volumes and margins at the same time.
• The turnaround depends on a still-new leadership team: CEO Mick Beekhuizen has led the company since February 2025, and CFO Todd Cunfer joined in October 2025. It also leans on the $286 million La Regina stake to keep Rao's, its fastest-growing brand, supplied and growing.
• Private-label competition and a longer-term shift toward fresh and "better-for-you" foods could permanently shrink demand for legacy soup and snack brands, independent of any near-term turnaround.

• October 5, 2026Campbell's issued $300 million of 8.500% junior subordinated notes due 2057. The rate is fixed until April 5, 2032, then resets every five years to the five-year Treasury rate plus 3.511%, but never below 8.500%. Campbell's can defer interest for up to 10 years at a time. Moody's rates the notes Ba1, and S&P and Fitch rate them BB, all below investment grade. Campbell's plans to use the money to repay the 5.20% notes due March 2027 and commercial paper.
• September 23, 2026Moody's downgraded Campbell's long-term rating to Baa3 from Baa2, citing weak fiscal 2026 earnings, expected further declines in fiscal 2027, and adjusted leverage of about 4.9 times at fiscal year-end. It also cut the commercial paper rating to Prime-3 from Prime-2. Moody's expects leverage to stay above 4 times at the end of fiscal 2027. The outlook stays negative.
• September 16, 2026Campbell's extended its $1.85 billion revolving credit facility to April 16, 2031.