- Price
- $80.14
- Fair value
- $113.00
- Discount
- 29.1%
- Uncertainty
- High
- LSEG rating
- 1.97
- Moat
- None
- Next earnings
- 2026-11-18
- Next earnings is estimate
- Yes
- Company name
- Baidu
- Sector
- Internet search & AI cloud
- About
- Baidu runs a major search engine in China and the Baidu App, which had 644 million monthly active users in June 2026. It earns money from online marketing, from AI cloud services (computing power, GPU cloud and AI models for companies), from AI applications such as Baidu Wenku and Baidu Drive, and from Apollo Go, its robotaxi service in 28 cities. It also consolidates iQIYI, a video streaming company. Revenue was RMB 31.3 billion in Q2 2026. Baidu Core's AI-powered Business was half of Baidu General Business revenue. Baidu is listed on Nasdaq and in Hong Kong, and it uses a VIE structure to control its businesses in China.
- Thesis
- The market fears that AI answers keep shrinking Baidu's search advertising, and it applies a discount for China risk. Online marketing revenue fell 19% from a year earlier to RMB 13.1 billion in Q2 2026, and the legacy business fell 23%. AI Cloud Infra revenue grew 50% to RMB 7.3 billion, but total revenue still fell 4%. Baidu also holds total cash and investments of RMB 283.1 billion, but investors give little value to cash held in China. For the gap to close, three things must be true. The fall in online marketing must slow, so that total revenue grows again. AI Cloud Infra must keep growing fast with better margins. Apollo Go must show a path to profit as it expands outside China. The Q3 2026 report, estimated for about November 18, 2026, gives the next test. Even if these checks pass, part of the gap will probably stay, because of US-China tension, the VIE structure and the weighted voting rights. The main reason the gap may not close is a faster loss of search revenue to AI chat products from other companies.
- Risks
- AI chat products from other Chinese companies can take search traffic and advertising from Baidu. Online marketing revenue fell 19% in Q2 2026.
US-China tension can bring export limits on AI chips, sanctions or delisting pressure. Limits on chips can slow the AI cloud business.
Baidu controls its Chinese businesses through VIE contracts and has weighted voting rights. Chinese regulators can change the rules for internet companies, and shareholders have limited rights.
AI cloud growth needs large spending on chips and data centers. If prices for AI computing fall in China, returns on this spending can be low.
- Balance sheet
- Cash: CN¥166.3B
Debt: CN¥103.9B
Net cash: CN¥62.4B
Debt due within 12 months: CN¥30.4B
Baidu has net cash. At June 30, 2026, cash and cash equivalents were RMB 24.5 billion and short-term investments were RMB 141.7 billion. Total cash and investments, as Baidu defines them, were RMB 283.1 billion, including long-term deposits and investments. Debt was about RMB 103.9 billion: short-term loans of RMB 26.3 billion, long-term loans of RMB 22.8 billion, notes payable of RMB 48.1 billion and convertible senior notes of RMB 6.6 billion. About RMB 30.4 billion of this is due within 12 months. Operating cash flow was RMB 3.4 billion in Q2 2026, and adjusted EBITDA was RMB 6.2 billion. Most cash is in China, and China controls money that leaves the country.
As of 2026-06-30.
- Checkpoints
- Nov 18, 2026 (estimate): Q3 2026 earnings: search decline and AI cloud. Pending. Watch: A slower fall in online marketing revenue and AI Cloud Infra growth of 40% or more pass; a faster fall in marketing revenue or slower cloud growth fail.
Feb 26, 2027 (estimate): Full-year 2026 report: return to growth. Pending. Watch: Total revenue growth from a year earlier in Q4 2026 and higher buybacks pass; another fall in total revenue fails.
- Recent events
- 2026-09-30: Baidu bought back about 560,000 Class A shares in Hong Kong on most trading days in September 2026, at prices from about HK$85 to HK$92 per share.
2026-09-01: Baidu's conversion to a dual-primary listing on the Main Board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange became effective. Shareholders approved the related matters at an extraordinary general meeting on August 26, 2026. The conversion issued no new shares.
2026-08-18: Baidu reported Q2 2026 results. Revenue was RMB 31.3 billion, down 4% from a year earlier. AI-powered Business revenue rose 25% to RMB 12.5 billion, led by AI Cloud Infra, up 50%. Online marketing revenue fell 19%. Non-GAAP net income attributable to Baidu was RMB 2.6 billion, and non-GAAP diluted earnings per ADS was RMB 7.22.
2026-08-18: Baidu said that Apollo Go had reached 28 cities and over 240 million fully driverless kilometers. It started fully driverless commercial operations in Dubai and driverless testing in Hong Kong. Baidu had returned US$259 million through buybacks since the start of 2026.