- Risks
- Macau made about half of Wynn's property profit over the 12 months to June 30, 2026. Macau gaming revenue fell from a year earlier in each month from June to September 2026. A slowdown in Chinese spending, a change in Macau gaming rules, or tension between China and the West would hit Wynn harder than a more geographically spread-out casino operator.
Wynn Al Marjan Island has already been delayed about six months and its budget rose by about $600 million. It does not open until September 2027. Wynn owns 40%, still has to put in $525 million to $650 million, and guarantees the construction loan until the project is complete, no later than June 30, 2028. Iranian strikes on the UAE in 2026 briefly paused construction. A further delay or cost increase would push out the new growth.
Wynn had about $10.8 billion of debt at June 30, 2026, with ratings of B1 at Moody's and BB- at Fitch. AboutAfter the September 2026 refinancing, about $1.9535 billion still comes due in 2027, and new. New debt now costs more: Wynn just refinanced $880 million of 5.25% notes with 6.875% notes. Each 1 percentage point rise in floating rates adds about $21 million a year of interest. Higher rates also lower the price investors pay for casino shares with high debt.
Weaker consumers can cut spending at all of Wynn's resorts. In Q2 2026, Wynn Las Vegas hotel occupancy fell 2.1 points, slot win fell 5.3%, and Las Vegas profit fell 8.3%. US consumer sentiment fell to a four-month low in September 2026. In Macau, spending per visitor is falling.
Wynn's Q2 2026 profit was helped by unusually high luck at the Wynn Palace tables and by a $43.3 million gain on a financial instrument. When table results return to normal, reported profit can fall even if the business does not change.
Fontainebleau Las Vegas, a large luxury resort with more than 3,600 rooms, opened on the north Las Vegas Strip in December 2023 and competes directly with Wynn Las Vegas and Encore. Wynn's largest individual shareholder is also buying Caesars, which owns several Strip casinos.
- Balance sheet
- Wynn Resorts had a shareholders' deficit of $169 million at June 30, 2026. This comes from years of losses during the Macau closures, and from buybacks and dividends. It carries about $10.7 billion of debt in separate borrowing groups. $5.76 billion of Macau-related debt sits at its 72%-owned Wynn Macau, Limited (WML) and its subsidiaries. $3.49 billion sits at Wynn Resorts Finance (WRF) in the US. $878 million sits at Wynn Las Vegas, and $599 million at a consolidated retail joint venture. Cash and cash equivalents were $1.57 billion, and WML also held $527 million of short-term investments. But $945 million of the cash sat in the WML group. WML pays cash to the parent only through dividends that it shares with its minority holders. Net debt of about $8.7 billion was about 4.5 times EBITDA of about $1.95 billion over the 12 months to June 2026. In the first half of 2026, operating income of $580 million covered interest expense of $305 million only about 1.9 times. About 81% of the debt had a fixed rate. In September 2026, WRF issued $900 million of 6.875% notes due 2035 to redeem $880 million of 5.25% Wynn Las Vegas notes due 2027. This leaves $750 million of WML 5.5% notes and a $600 million retail term loan due in 2027. At June 30, 2026, undrawn revolver capacity was $1.03 billion at WRF and $1.35 billion at WML. The ratings are below investment grade: S&P and Fitch rated the new notes BB-. Wynn also guarantees completion of the Al Marjan joint venture's $2.4 billion secured construction loan until the resort is complete. The debt leaves limited room. Further Al Marjan equity of $525 million to $650 million and refinancing at higher rates compete with buybacks and dividends.
As of 2026-06-30.
- Checkpoints
- Sep 22, 2026: Refinance Wynn Las Vegas notes due 2027. Passed. Watch: Closing new long-term notes to redeem the $880 million 2027 notes passes; a failed offering fails. Outcome: WRF closed $900 million of 6.875% notes due 2035 to redeem the 5.25% notes due 2027, at a higher interest rate.
Nov 4, 2026 (estimate): Q3 2026 results: Macau share at normal table luck. Pending. Watch: Stable Macau market share and EBITDAR with normal hold, and Las Vegas EBITDAR that stops falling, pass; a fall in Macau share or more Las Vegas decline fails.
Jan 1, 2027 (estimate): Macau December 2026 gaming revenue report. Pending. Watch: Macau gaming revenue for Q4 2026 that is flat or higher than a year earlier passes; a fifth or later month of falls fails.
Sep 2027 (estimate): Wynn Al Marjan Island opens in the UAE. Pending. Watch: Opening in September 2027 within the budget of about $5.7 billion, with Wynn equity within $525 million to $650 million more, passes; a further delay or cost rise fails.