- Price
- $664.48
- Fair value
- $850.00
- Discount
- 21.8%
- Uncertainty
- High
- LSEG rating
- 1.83
- Moat
- Wide
- Next earnings
- 2026-10-29
- Next earnings is estimate
- Yes
- Company name
- Meta Platforms
- Sector
- Social media & digital advertising
- About
- Meta runs Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, and Messenger. Most of its profit comes from selling advertising on these apps. Meta is also spending heavily to build AI, through its Meta Superintelligence Labs division, and to build the computing infrastructure that AI work needs.
- Thesis
- Meta is spending a record amount on AI computing infrastructure, up to $145 billion in 2026. The market has focused on this rising spending, and on whether the AI investment will pay off. But Meta's advertising business keeps growing at a strong pace, and this cash flow funds the AI spending without needing outside capital. If AI tools keep improving ad targeting, and Meta's own AI products keep gaining users, today's heavy spending can turn into future growth, and the discount can close.
- Risks
- Meta's AI spending is rising faster than its profit. If AI products do not generate enough new revenue, today's spending can keep pressuring profit margins.
Meta depends on advertising for almost all of its revenue. A slowdown in the ad market would hit Meta harder than a more diversified company.
Meta competes for AI talent and AI infrastructure capacity with well-funded rivals. Losing that race could weaken the payoff from its current spending.
- Recent events
- 2026-07-29: Meta reported Q2 2026 results. Revenue grew 28% to $60.8 billion. Net income fell 14% from last year, the first year-over-year profit drop since the AI spending ramp began.
2026-07-29: Management guided full-year 2026 capital spending to as much as $145 billion, up from $72 billion in 2025.