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CSU changes

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View the full Oct 1, 2026 version
Price
CA$2872.98 → CA$2894.73(+0.8%)
Discount
17.9% → 17.3%(−0.6 pts)
Next earnings
2026-10-21 → 2026-11-11
Next earnings is estimate
No → Yes
Thesis
Investors worry that cheap AI tools will let rivals copy Constellation's niche, industry-specific software. This fear grew after organic growth slowed to 3% in the second quarter of 2026, the softest pace in almost six years. Founder Mark Leonard also resigned for health reasons in 2025. Constellation's software runs core, regulated tasks such as utility billing or court case management. Customers rarely remove this kind of system, since a failure would disrupt daily operations. This makes a quick AI clone unlikely to displace it. But the new CEO, Mark Miller, has not yet run the company's acquisition process through a full economic cycle without Leonard. S&P raised its outlook on Constellation in August 2026, pointing to falling debt. That is a small sign the balance sheet is not the market's main worry. The clearer test is whether organic growth recovers from its 3% low. It also matters whether Miller keeps finding acquisitions at good prices while competition for targets stays intense. Q3 2026 results, due October 21,expected in early November 2026, give the next organic-growth reading. But proving the capital-allocation approach works without Leonard is a multi-year question, not a one-quarter one. So this discount likely takes several years to close fully.