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COLDCold storage REIT

Americold Realty Trust

No moatMedium uncertainty

Updated

Price
$13.82
Fair value
fair value $17.50
Discount
21.0% below fair value
LSEG rating
LSEG 2.56 — lower is better (1–5)
Next earnings
Earnings Nov 5 ·

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In short

Thesis
The market prices Americold for flat cold storage demand and high debt, and lower leverage after the EQT deal with a return to same store growth over the next four to six quarters can close the gap.
Gap
Can close. The Q3 2026 report on November 5, 2026 shows leverage after the EQT deal, and the next reports show whether same store NOI grows again.
Next test
: Q3 2026 earnings: leverage after the joint venture

About

Americold owns and operates temperature-controlled warehouses. Food producers, processors, distributors and retailers store frozen and chilled goods in them, and Americold also provides handling and transport services. It has more than 220 facilities in North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific and South America, with about 1.4 billion refrigerated cubic feet. Total revenues were $662.9 million in Q2 2026.

Americold is a real estate investment trust. On August 31, 2026, it formed a joint venture with EQT for 12 U.S. warehouses: EQT owns 70%, and Americold owns 30% and manages the sites. Rob Chambers is CEO.

Thesis

The market prices Americold for weak demand for cold storage and high debt. Same store NOI of the Global Warehouse segment fell 1.5% in Q2 2026, throughput pallets fell 1.0%, and impairments caused a Q2 net loss of $342.8 million. In July 2026, Americold and a distribution unit of Ahold Delhaize USA agreed to wind down two automated sites built for that customer, and Americold expected an impairment of $305 million to $320 million. Net debt was about 7.3 times pro-forma Core EBITDA at June 30, 2026.

For the gap to close, three things must be true. The $1.1 billion of cash from the EQT joint venture must reduce debt and leverage as planned. Occupancy and throughput must recover, so that same store NOI grows again. Americold must sell or reuse the Lancaster and Plainville sites without new large losses.

The Q3 2026 report on November 5, 2026 shows leverage after the joint venture. If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next four to six quarters. The main reason it may not close is a longer period of flat demand for cold storage, which Americold cannot control.

Checkpoints

  1. Nov 5, 2026Pending
    Q3 2026 earnings: leverage after the joint ventureLower net debt after the $1.1 billion of proceeds and AFFO guidance kept at $1.26 to $1.32 pass; a guidance cut or falling same store NOI fail.
  2. Dec 31, 2026Pending
    Lancaster wind-down endsThe Lancaster wind-down ends on time and Americold agrees to sell or reuse the two sites pass; new impairments or large cash costs fail.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Balance sheet

Cash
$40M
Debt
$4.3B
Net debt
$4.2B
Net debt / EBITDA
7.3×
as the company states it

Cash against debt

Cash$40M
Debt$4.3B

debt covered by cashnet debt $4.2B

Leverage: net debt / EBITDA

low, under 2×medium, 2× to 4×high, over 4×

Americold funds itself mostly with unsecured debt. At June 30, 2026, debt principal was $4.26 billion: senior unsecured notes of $2.51 billion, unsecured term loans of $1.30 billion and $451 million drawn on the revolving credit facility.

Risks

  • Demand for cold storage is flat. Same store NOI fell 1.5% and throughput pallets fell 1.0% in Q2 2026. If food producers keep low inventories, occupancy and rates stay under pressure.
  • Net debt was about 7.3 times pro-forma Core EBITDA at June 30, 2026. If the cash from the joint venture does not lower leverage enough, the company has less room to invest or keep its dividend.
  • The Lancaster and Plainville facilities had a net book value of about $455 million before the impairment. Americold may not sell them at the expected value, and it cannot yet estimate other cash costs of the wind-down.
  • About 35% of debt was at a floating rate at June 30, 2026. Higher interest rates increase interest costs and lower AFFO.

Recent events

  • August 31, 2026Americold closed its joint venture with EQT's Active Core Infrastructure fund. The venture owns 12 U.S. warehouses with more than $1.3 billion of gross asset value. EQT owns 70% and Americold owns 30% and manages the sites. Americold received about $1.1 billion of net cash and intends to use it to repay debt.
  • August 6, 2026Americold reported Q2 2026 results. Total revenues rose 1.9% to $662.9 million, and AFFO was $0.35 per share. Impairment charges caused a net loss of $342.8 million. Same store NOI fell 1.5%. Americold raised its 2026 AFFO guidance to $1.26 to $1.32 per share, including the dilution from the joint venture.
  • July 21, 2026Americold agreed with ADUSA Distribution, a unit of Ahold Delhaize USA, to wind down operations at its automated distribution center in Lancaster, Pennsylvania, by December 31, 2026, and not to open its automated center in Plainville, Connecticut. Americold expected a non-cash impairment of $305 million to $320 million and plans to sell the two facilities.
Show 1 older event
  • May 7, 2026Americold agreed to contribute 12 cold storage facilities, valued at more than $1.3 billion, to a new joint venture with EQT. It expected about $1.1 billion of net cash proceeds to repay debt.

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